A revue of the SAE standard indicates that relative humidity is what is used in the calculations.
To be accurate you need a air density gauge. About $100 from Longacre.
Still, you can guess, but it's a crap shoot.
In general;
Altitude means thinner air, smaller jet, but it's just a guess.
Hot, in general, needs thinner air. Cold just the opposite.
Barometric pressure. Almost impossible to feel, but more important than temperature. Lots of clouds can generally mean low-pressure.
On and 80° day I've seen air density over 103, that's high.
Generally, cool clear mornings being high air density, cloudy muggy afternoons generally mean low air density.
.038" – .039" will cover about 5 points on the air density gauge. Here in Liberty Hills Texas, over a year, air density can vary about 12 to 15 points. It's generally lower in the summer and higher in the winter. But that's just generally, not a hard and fast rule.
How to pick the best yet?
You need a baseline. Remember that day when you went fast, it may be that you were jetted just right that day, use that as your baseline. Write down the conditions, temperature and barometric pressure. No clouds, in general, means high air density. Very cloudy, in general, means low air density.
I'm working on a theory now that you can change the jets, high/low, to get the right mixture. For instance; you're running a 38 jet high-end and the 22 jet low end. There density, your guessing, goes down some. Maybe not enough for a 37 jet, but put in a 37 it anyway and increase the low-speed jet to 23. I have a spreadsheet that calculates the difference in flow overall.
Air density in general.
Clear cool morning = high air density.
Muggy hot afternoon = low air density.
When the sun goes down = higher air density.
All predictions are "in general"! "In general" meaning better than nothing but you really need an air density gauge.